Marine Corps. Gen. James Mattis, commander of US Joint Forces Command and NATO Supreme Allied Commander for Transformation, yesterday reasserted his objections to the strategic concept called effects-based operations, which proved wildly successful in Operations Desert Storm, Allied Force, and Enduring Freedom. Speaking at a symposium of the Reserve Officers Association in Washington, D.C, Mattis said EBO is a “sound approach” against “closed” systems, such as taking down a power grid, but has no place in “real war.” Where EBO “went wrong,” he said, is that it assumed war is predictable. However, human beings are unpredictable, some things are “not quantifiable,” and wars are simply a series of “muddling,” improvised responses to constantly changing conditions, he continued. The “American desire for certainty” must be resisted in combat, he said. Responding to a question from an Air Force officer, he called EBO “a bastardization” of what the Air Force does. (For more on Mattis and the EBO debate, read Improvisation Won’t Do It.)
The Air Force’s Hypersonic Attack Cruise Missile is behind schedule and may significantly overrun its expected cost, which could partially explain why the service is reviving the hypersonic AGM-183 Air-Launched Rapid-Response Weapon.